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This Year, The Real Economy Or U Shaped Recovery Still Has Pressure On Smes.

2013/1/4 10:28:00 41

Report On China'S Industrial Economic Operation In 2012 Industrial Economy And Economy

seize the four dividends of reform, opening up, pformation and upgrading, and urbanization, and enhance the quality and efficiency of economic growth. This is the top priority for the development of real enterprises this year.

December 28, 2012, the Ministry of industry and information technology issued the < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.as" > the 2012 China industrial economic operation report < /a > (hereinafter referred to as "the report") jointly issued by the operation monitoring Coordination Bureau and the Institute of industrial economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

"report" believes that last year, the overall operation of industrial economy shifted from "slow down to stable" to "steady recovery".

The fundamentals of China's industrial economic development this year are good, and there is still much room for development and potential, but the situation is still not optimistic.

"this year's situation will be better than last year."

Jin Xiangrong, executive vice president of the school of economics, Zhejiang University, said that the four major dividends of reform, opening up, pformation and upgrading, and urbanization, to enhance the quality and efficiency of economic growth, is the top priority for the development of real enterprises this year.

"U form" trend /p >

in Zhejiang, a large private enterprise, last year, the private economy index showed a trend of obvious U shape. Private enterprises have entered a good recovery period.

according to the statistics of Zhejiang Provincial Commission of letters, in the first 11 months of last year, the industrial added value of above scale industries in Zhejiang increased by 6.8% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 1.6 percentage points and 2 percentage points respectively compared with the first half and the first quarter. It has stabilized and picked up more than 3 months earlier than the whole country.

at the same time, the confidence of private enterprises is also improving.

In the first quarter, Zhejiang's private economy boom index was 109.01 points, and fell to 103.35 in the two quarter.

Although the three quarter hit a new low of 102.54 points, the decline narrowed and rose to 107.77 in the fourth quarter.

monitoring of private enterprises shows that at present, < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_p.asp" > Zhejiang < /a > the process of enterprise going stocktaking has entered the later stage, and the raw material inventory and finished product inventory of the 70% enterprises have been at a reasonable level.

In addition, the financial situation of enterprises is further improved, 87% of enterprises' debt ratio is below 50%, and 82% of enterprises have less than 50% of short-term liabilities within one year.

in fact, since the second half of last year, China's industrial growth has shown a quarterly slowdown.

With the steady growth of central policies, the positive changes have increased since the second half of last year, and industrial growth has been rising month by month.

the Ministry of industry and statistics shows that the monthly growth rate of industrial added value in August last year dropped to 8.9% after the lowest point since 2010. The growth rate of 9, 10, 11 and three months increased 9.2%, 9.6% and 10.1% respectively.

The monthly growth rate of above scale industrial added value increased month by month after July, and increased by 0.76%, 0.84%, 0.83% and 0.86%, respectively, in 8, 9, 10 and November.

according to the statistics of China Electric Power Enterprise Federation, in the first 11 months of last year, industrial electricity consumption increased by 3.4% compared to the same period last year, and the monthly growth rate increased by 0.9% from September to 0.9%, rising to 10 and 5.9% and 7% in November respectively.

according to the survey, the biggest expectation of Zhejiang's private enterprises is to deepen the system reform and optimize the entrepreneurial and innovative environment. 60% of the private enterprises are confident of the development environment of the enterprises in the next 5 years.

Most enterprises are optimistic about the economic prosperity, and the development psychology index has rebounded sharply in the fourth quarter of last year, which will start well in the first quarter of this year.

enterprise pressure is still .

despite the fact that corporate confidence is getting warmer, this does not mean that the company has gone out of the woods.

a person in charge of a large private enterprise in Wenzhou said that the main businesses of some local private enterprises have not been profitable or even lost money for many years, and the survival of enterprises depends mainly on the external investment income.

In the past few years, real estate, logistics, hydropower, wind power, mines and so on.

It is precisely those industries that have recently invested in recent years are in the doldrums.

Jin Xiangrong believes that < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.as" > financing < /a > costs, logistics costs and wage costs increase, leading to the rise of business costs and even price upside down, squeezing the profit margins of enterprises, resulting in a significant decline in economic efficiency, large losses in some industries, and increased risk of capital chain breakage.

"report" believes that economic development is still facing many difficulties, and the foundation for stabilization is still not stable. It is also facing many difficulties and challenges to achieve steady industrial growth.

At present, enterprise management is still more difficult than P.

According to statistics, in the first 10 months of last year, the loss of domestic enterprises was 15%, an increase of 3 percentage points compared with the same period last year, and the deficit of loss making enterprises increased by 50.1% over the same period last year. The cost of the main business income increased by 0.28 yuan over the same period last year, and the financial expenses increased by 28.6% over the same period last year, which is 18.3 percentage points higher than that of the main business during the same period.

among them, the pressure of Zhejiang enterprises is greater than that of the whole country.

.

in the first 11 months of last year, the profits of Industrial Enterprises above Designated Size in Zhejiang dropped by 8.8%; in 38 industries, there were 23 industries with declining profits; 16.1% of enterprises' losses, 58.8% of losses, 29 of which increased losses, and less than 80% of enterprises in some areas.

At the same time, the problems of small and micro enterprises such as high operating pressure, rising costs, financing difficulties and heavy taxes and fees are even more prominent. In November last year, the PMI of small businesses was only 46.1%, which has been below the critical point since April, and is still nearly 4 points away from the critical value.

in addition, the problem of overcapacity in some industries is prominent. There are such problems as "high capacity, high inventory, high cost, low demand, low price and low efficiency".

The above report points out that China's steelmaking capacity exceeds 9 billion tons, and its capacity utilization rate is only 72%. Cement production capacity is close to 30 billion tons, exceeding the expected target of 25 billion tons in 2015, and 58 polysilicon production enterprises are currently running less than 10 under the influence of export obstruction.

"export and investment are outdated. Next, enterprises should pay more attention to the domestic demand market."

Wenzhou City < a target= "_blank" href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > clothing < /a > chamber of Commerce, President of Zhejiang chamber of Commerce, a target= "_blank" href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > Zheng Chenai, chairman of Clothing Co., Ltd., said that at present, some industries are overcapacity, they should reduce production capacity, guide them to increase the added value of products, and let the value of knowledge, property rights, creativity and so on be reflected.

forced pformation and upgrading

"all kinds of factors compel enterprises to make adjustments."

Zheng Chenai said that, contrary to two years ago, China's manufacturing industry finally survived the 2012 when prices of resources rose, the market descended, and policies tightened.

the report points out that the economic situation in foreign countries is still complex in 2013, and the uncertainties and uncertainties are increasing. The economy will be pformed from high speed growth to moderate and stable growth. In general, it is in a phased adjustment. We must make great efforts to maintain steady and rapid economic development and comprehensively improve the quality and efficiency of industrial development.

Zheng Chenai said that in December last year, the central economic work conference put forward that it is very specific to reduce the financing cost of the real economic development.

The high cost of financing is the first difficulty in the development of the real economy, and it is very destructive to it.

Because the cost of financing is too high, the desire to invest in enterprises is not strong, even if the scale of credit is not enough.

Zheng Chenai believes that while reducing the cost of financing, the state should strengthen the monitoring of the flow of credit funds.

Before, in the process of rising housing prices in the country, enterprises have misappropriated industrial loans to buy houses and speculators, and even some people use loan funds to lend money to earn profits.

Zheng Chen AI asked: "take the most stringent measures, the national drunk driving can be managed, how the loan flow can not control it!"

the report also holds that China's economic development in 2013 has many favorable conditions and positive factors.

The further development of new industrialization, information technology, urbanization and agricultural modernization will provide broad market space for expanding domestic demand and developing the real economy.

Accelerating the pformation of innovation drive, structural adjustment and development mode will continuously enhance the coordination and sustainability of economic development.

Unswervingly advancing reform and opening wider to the outside world will effectively stimulate the vitality and power of economic development.

Under the impetus of the situation, the industrial structure of Zhejiang has been quickening the trend of adjustment.

The equipment manufacturing industry and the high-tech industry increased by 6.9% and 9.6% respectively over the first 11 months of last year, and the growth rates were higher than those of the above scale industries.

In the first 11 months of last year, the output value of new industrial products above Designated Size in Zhejiang increased by 11% over the same period last year, higher than that of total industrial output value, and the output value of new products was 22.5%, up 1.1 percentage points from the same period last year. The expenditure on scientific and technological activities in the first three quarters increased by 15.7%.

"at present, the pformation mechanism of Zhejiang's pformation and upgrading is gradually taking shape. Entities should seize the four major dividends of reform, opening up, pformation and upgrading, and urbanization."

Jin Xiangrong thinks.

Jin Xiangrong said: at present, Zhejiang's incremental investment focuses on promoting the upgrading of the industrial chain, and the core of the industry continues to expand to the upstream of the industrial chain. The proportion of traditional industrial investment has dropped significantly, and the proportion of high-energy consumption industries has gradually decreased.

According to statistics, in the first 11 months of last year, the added value of Zhejiang's high energy consuming industries accounted for 38.5% of the above scale industries, and the energy consumption of industrial added value above designated scale decreased by 7.9% compared with the same period last year. The consumption of 90% industries in 38 industrial sectors dropped.