Short Term Speculation On GEM Should Be Cautious And Hot Switching And Changing Rapidly.
This week's stock market has enabled investors to feel the excitement of roller coaster, has a new high index, also has a recent low, and still hit a new low after the new high; and most importantly, because of the normalization of structural differentiation in the shock market, the new high does not mean that the stocks in the hands of shareholders are rising. Individual stock It does not mean falling.
Let's take a look at the market trend. We can see that after the afternoon of July 11th, the stock market led by Ping An Bank and China life went up. After leading the Shanghai 50 index to a new high, the stock index also followed the 3230 point gap, but then triggered a sharp dive. In July 12th, it was a similar trend, once diving to 3177 points, during which stocks generally dived. And then there was a turning point. We saw the weakest before. Gem The index began to recover land lost, and led related stocks to strengthen, and finally the gem index rose. How do we understand this trend?
It is mainly related to two factors, one is the attempt of hot spot mode, the other is the isolated island downward gap 3229.95-3238.90 area formed in April 21st this year. First of all, from the hot spot mode, facing the island reverse gap near the initial 3230 points, it is not difficult to make use of the large stock market once again, but the question is the significance of such compensation, and whether the market can continue to go up, and even consider whether or not to stand firm 3200 points. Large cap stocks If the mode is not suitable, it is necessary to try to switch the small cap stocks, which is the reason for the recent market changes.
Secondly, from the perspective of quantity and price. In the current volume of quarterly contraction, it is not easy to continue to go up in the gap position, so there will often be a sharp fall in the index, and even a few intraday rapid diving. After all, after the market tried to break through 3200 points, after blocking 3300 points, a high level of holding plate was formed. If we want to liberate such a region, we need a large amount of energy support. This attempt has been made at least 3 times this year, and the pressure on the market is really great.
In such a process, it is easy to switch and change hot spots. We can see that after last week's market diving, the coal and non-ferrous metal plates were active, and this week began to plate differentiation and adjustment. And after the 7.12 day diving, we saw that Xiong an shares, such as Beijing CREE, North China expressway, Hsun Chung precision machine, space board industry, Tianjin film technology and so on, have been rushing high, but this sector is also very heavy.
In addition, there is also the recent hottest lithium battery plate adjustment has also been pulled up, such as Tianqi lithium, Gan Feng lithium, 100 billion Li Li, when the technology, elegant group and so on have rebounded. Then, in such a market, it is clear that a relatively simple and clear way of stock selection is needed to avoid being lost in the chaotic disk, and also to find the direction in the complexity of opportunities and risks. When the market opened slightly, the gap was further reduced, and the lowest point hit the next day's forecast.
The Shenzhen stock index opened at 10448 below the forecast day, while the growth rate of the gem was just below the forecast of the day, but even with the fast break, the same forecast pressure on the 1771 day was also the same. From the above information, we can see that today's market should not be optimistic. According to the information given in the morning market, today's market is a balanced market, but there are no hot spots. The amount of time can be reduced. The main single order is still continuing to flow out. Therefore, if we do not change this situation in the afternoon, we need to give some discount to balance the market. In addition to the fact that there is another 50 of the SSE in supporting the face, it will be a little better.
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