"Shortage Of Orders" Encountered "Labor Shortage" Spinning Clothing Industry Is Facing The Transfer Or Transformation Test.

" Order shortage Encounter Labor shortage "The seemingly contradictory economic phenomenon appeared at the same time, sending a strong warning signal to the market. Many enterprises and market participants believe that behind the abnormal superposition of "double famine" is the grim reality of China's manufacturing industry, especially the traditional labor intensive industries upgrading and transformation, which is facing the slowdown of global economic recovery.

China's export situation is not optimistic recently. Some industries, especially textiles. clothing Labor intensive industries such as toys, shoes and hats will still face reduced orders in the future. Order At the same time, with the Pearl River Delta as the representative, the situation of recruitment difficulties and labor shortage in the eastern coastal areas of China has not been improved. The annual recruitment banner has become the daily landscape of these areas.

　　 "Order rhythm disorder" exacerbated "labor shortage"

In recent years, due to the situation at home and abroad, recruitment difficulties and labor shortage are not a rare phenomenon. But what surprised some enterprises is that although the number of overseas orders accepted by enterprises has not increased or even declined this year, the difficulty of recruiting enterprises has not improved. This is a contrast with previous orders, such as the shortage of labor force and less orders. "After 18 years of business, now is the most confused time." Guo Xianhua, executive deputy general manager of Dongyuan kitchen utensils company in Shunde, Guangdong, started from a husband and wife store. As a small and medium-sized labor-intensive enterprise with no more than 500 workers, he now faces the plight of lack of people in the busy season. The reason is that he has a direct relationship with the "complete rhythm of the order". "In the past, when the European and American economy was normal, the market situation was predictable on both sides of manufacture and sale. Therefore, the employment was clear and the business could adapt and adjust. The shortage of labor is only a temporary phenomenon. But this year, the international orders are becoming shorter and more urgent, and German enterprises have placed orders for us for 100 products. Under such circumstances, enterprises simply can not support people, and they dare not raise people. As a result, the lack of work has become a norm. Guo Xianhua said.

According to the analysis of enterprises, because the main export market status has not changed, the recent crisis intensification in Europe and the United States is likely to lead to a surge of labor and employment in China, and even a short wave of labor shortage in the winter and spring.

Cao Xiaojian, deputy general manager of Jiangsu sainty Limited by Share Ltd, said that since the beginning of this year, Europe and the United States have been constrained by their slow economic recovery, and buyers' purchasing intentions have been very weak and orders are insufficient. At the same time, forcing a considerable number of export enterprises in China to maintain a low level of employment, it also greatly reduces the adjustment and adaptability of the manufacturing chain. "With the depletion of inventory, the consumption of consumer goods in the US and Europe is likely to have a gap period in the spring of 2012. It will not be ruled out that local buyers will suddenly add a large number of urgent and short lists to Chinese enterprises, and the Spring Festival comes early in 2012, when the urgent shortage of Chinese enterprises is likely to increase."

　 Transfer or transformation to test labor-intensive enterprises

Faced with the superposition of "order shortage" and "labor shortage", some experts and market participants believe that, influenced by many domestic factors, it is difficult for traditional labor-intensive enterprises to respond simply by raising wages and increasing welfare.

Wu Yingxi, deputy director of the business liaison office of the Shandong Provincial Department of Commerce, which has long followed the business and market dynamics, said that the causes of "labor shortage" are complex, and that the great changes in the employment orientation of the new generation of migrant workers are one of the important factors. From the perspective of Shandong's large labor force Province, young "post-90s" migrant workers appear to be more likely to be redundant in the cities, unwilling to work in the countryside, preferring to get low wages in the service industry, unwilling to earn overtime pay in the manufacturing industry, preferring to struggle in cities and unwilling to enjoy in the countryside. He said.

The "shortage of orders" also makes China's large number of traditional processing export enterprises' ability to "raise prices" seriously limited. In the 110th Canton Fair held from October to November last year, many enterprises reflected that due to the weak international demand, European and American merchants generally did not want to raise prices substantially, and the cost of raw materials increased. The space for enterprises to raise labor prices was more and more restricted. He said.

At present, the employment of traditional labor intensive enterprises in the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta region has begun to appear "aging" demand. Many enterprises have changed their employment habits to the "literacy workers" aged 35 to 50 years old, and men and women are not restricted. Wang Hongli, Vice Minister of production protection department of Shenzhen Federation of trade unions, believes that with the approaching of the aging society, the total amount of labor supply in China will gradually decrease in the future. Expanding the age range of employment can not fundamentally solve the problem, and enterprises will either upgrade or transfer, and there is no other way out. {page_break}

　　 We must deal with labour intensive industries.

Subsequent effect of transformation

However, in the same way, the choice of different industries may be totally different. Some market participants believe that China's low-end production capacity in some labor-intensive industries dominated by consumer goods such as shoes, clothing, bags and so on will be transferred overseas; while electronic consumer enterprises may shift to the central and western parts of the country; compared with the large and medium-sized private enterprises, the transfer of foreign enterprises will be more powerful, and the desire for transformation of the former will be more intense.

Cao Xiaojian said that from the perspective of international industrial transfer, due to the high cost of transportation, textile, clothing, shoes and other traditional labor-intensive industries generally set up factories in coastal areas. "From the current situation, the trend of accelerating the transfer of these industries from China to the surrounding countries and regions along the sea is more obvious. In the future, the competitiveness of Chinese local enterprises in these industries will be mainly reflected in the high-end products. "

In addition, because a considerable part of the capacity of these industries is completed by multinational enterprises, these factories are obviously constrained by international capital demand and are more sensitive to the increase of labor costs. Therefore, the speed of transferring to Vietnam and India is also accelerating. Nike's production capacity in Vietnam is more than China's example.

At the same time, some private enterprises have chosen the path of upgrading and transformation. Take the Guangdong Nanhai Zhao Xin group as an example, the firm resolutely closed its 4 shoe factories and plunge into the new energy industry. The responsible person of the enterprise said that only by "reluctantly giving up" can enterprises find their way out in the dual attack of "order shortage" and "labor shortage".

Looking forward to the future, whether industrial upgrading, enterprise transformation and transfer can really solve the employment and employment situation behind the "labor shortage" and change the "shock wave" are the concerns of many people. Some experts say that the focus of guiding the industrial transformation and upgrading is placed on the enterprises. There is not much consideration for the employment needs and ideas of the workers. "It is very likely that the workers may not be willing to follow the enterprise after the transfer of the enterprises, and the enterprises have upgraded the unsynchronized situation that the workers may not" upgrade ". In addition, the fluctuation of employment may increase further in the future. If we do not consider it in terms of policy, it is likely to cause laborers' "surplus" to aggravate the situation in coastal areas, and the social pressure brought by it should not be underestimated.